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Red32
218314.9
393215.9
83247.2
Blue39
36278.9
584211.0
219.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452701020405060703239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.2
16.516.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.1
red by 4.9
11.00.3
10.510.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Second
14.90.2
15.515.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 5.7
21
#23
9.20.3
8.79.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End4.4
Third
8324
#18
7.20.2
7.77.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End1.5
blue by 1.7
3627
#16
8.90.3
8.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.9