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Red30
5911.5
74412.7
15237.8
Blue9
264111.0
47073.4
88177.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41280206080100309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#13
12.71.2
13.312.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
red by 1.6
2641
#33
11.02.1
11.49.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End3.9
Second
59
#14
11.51.2
13.111.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End5.2
red by 3.7
8817
#26
7.71.7
7.76.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.0
Third
1523
#22
7.81.2
10.89.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End3.9
red by 4.4
4707
#31
3.42.1
8.56.4
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed