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Red65
10818.2
238321.4
216834.5
Blue2
78334.7
54107.7
44714.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47220406080100652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.6
18.020.7
Auto11.0
Teleop13.1
End10.4
red by 26.8
7.72.4
9.16.6
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Second
2383
#11
21.42.6
12.915.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End5.2
red by 16.6
4471
#27
4.92.4
7.65.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Third
108
#10
18.22.6
10.313.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 13.6
7833
#20
4.72.4
7.14.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed