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Red30
219.2
45927.6
219013.6
Blue33
238321.4
31646.4
54107.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284001020506070803033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2190
#12
13.60.2
11.611.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 7.9
2383
#11
21.40.3
20.119.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Second
21
#23
9.20.2
9.59.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.0
End4.4
red by 1.5
7.70.3
8.17.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Third
4592
#21
7.60.2
6.76.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
red by 1.2
3164
#17
6.40.3
8.17.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed