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Red49
76527.2
584211.0
420625.8
Blue19
83247.2
54107.7
17445.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3917060801004919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.6
23.425.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
red by 18.1
7.70.0
5.75.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End3.0
Second
11.01.6
4.15.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.4
red by 3.8
8324
#18
7.20.0
3.43.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Third
7652
#19
7.21.6
6.78.4
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End1.7
red by 1.5
1744
#29
5.70.0
9.79.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed