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Red70
420625.8
448128.9
547218.9
Blue19
10818.2
45927.6
584211.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060807019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.93.8
15.319.0
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End5.6
red by 10.7
108
#10
18.21.3
11.710.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
25.83.8
9.813.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
red by 14.8
11.01.3
9.07.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Third
18.93.8
11.114.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End6.6
red by 11.3
4592
#21
7.61.3
10.49.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed