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Red46
74428.6
448128.9
10818.2
Blue60
5911.5
47073.4
17943.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42423050604660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.3
20.721.0
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End5.6
blue by 14.8
179
#2
43.72.3
30.132.5
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End13.8
Second
108
#10
18.20.3
12.212.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.1
red by 6.8
59
#14
11.52.2
8.010.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Third
7442
#15
8.60.3
6.66.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 5.2
4707
#31
3.42.2
1.03.2
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
55%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned