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Red48
3486.6
36278.9
238321.4
Blue52
74038.9
547218.9
15237.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372701020405060704852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
21.41.1
19.120.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End5.2
red by 2.6
18.92.5
15.317.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End6.6
Second
3627
#16
8.91.1
7.18.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Level
7403
#24
8.92.7
5.98.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.4
Third
348
#25
6.61.1
6.87.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 1.2
1523
#22
7.82.3
5.27.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed