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Red73
76527.2
17943.7
83247.2
Blue36
5911.5
238321.4
78334.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613720801007336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
43.70.9
40.741.6
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End13.8
red by 22.2
2383
#11
21.40.5
19.819.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End5.2
Second
7652
#19
7.20.9
6.77.6
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End1.7
blue by 4.2
59
#14
11.50.5
11.711.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End5.2
Third
8324
#18
7.20.9
6.77.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End1.5
red by 2.5
7833
#20
4.70.5
6.45.9
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsMissed