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Red44
332916.4
747014.3
88156.4
Blue38
563216.7
731511.6
58286.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41321020506070804438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.2
16.616.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End5.5
blue by 0.3
5632
#11
16.70.1
15.715.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.8
Second
14.30.2
14.514.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.9
red by 2.7
11.60.1
10.610.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
8815
#19
6.40.2
6.66.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End1.0
red by 0.3
5828
#17
6.10.1
5.15.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.3