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Red57
174617.8
168320.0
38156.7
Blue49
470112.5
363520.1
334411.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474630405060705749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.0
19.719.8
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Level
20.10.1
20.120.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
1746
#10
17.80.0
17.517.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 5.2
4701
#13
12.50.1
12.612.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Third
3815
#20
6.70.0
6.46.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 4.6
3344
#15
11.30.1
11.311.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End3.8