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Red39
52192.9
470112.5
174617.8
Blue75
168320.0
682926.3
710413.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060801003975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#10
17.80.3
14.214.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End3.8
blue by 8.6
26.32.5
16.218.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Second
4701
#13
12.50.3
11.912.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 7.5
20.02.5
11.714.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
5219
#26
2.90.3
4.75.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.3
End-0.4
blue by 10.8
7104
#12
13.82.5
9.011.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned