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Red68
174617.8
647113.2
168320.0
Blue70
747014.3
470112.5
141426.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445110203040607080906870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.01.7
16.918.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 6.1
26.11.3
24.826.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End9.1
Second
1746
#10
17.81.7
14.115.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 3.4
14.31.3
9.610.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.9
Third
6471
#16
13.22.9
11.214.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End3.7
red by 0.7
4701
#13
12.51.3
12.213.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned