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Red40
69258.5
334411.3
563216.7
Blue50
731511.6
691931.8
58286.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27490204060801004050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5632
#11
16.70.5
14.114.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.8
blue by 15.1
31.80.5
27.327.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End4.9
Second
3344
#15
11.30.5
7.58.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End3.8
blue by 0.3
11.60.5
9.610.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
6925
#22
8.50.5
6.67.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 2.3
5828
#17
6.10.5
6.36.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed