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Red57
691931.8
38156.7
731511.6
Blue54
747014.3
647113.2
332916.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503802060801005754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.8
28.429.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End4.9
red by 15.4
16.41.1
15.016.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End5.5
Second
11.60.8
10.611.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
blue by 2.7
14.31.1
10.912.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.9
Third
3815
#20
6.70.8
6.67.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 6.5
6471
#16
13.21.6
11.713.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned