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Red31
710413.8
17958.0
174617.8
Blue26
88156.4
563216.7
747014.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801001201403126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#10
17.80.5
16.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 1.0
5632
#11
16.70.8
15.614.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End5.8
Second
7104
#12
13.80.5
14.514.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End9.1
blue by 0.5
14.30.8
14.914.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.9
Third
1795
#14
8.00.5
7.97.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
red by 1.6
8815
#19
6.40.8
7.56.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed