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Red38
69258.5
168320.0
731511.6
Blue27
38156.7
710413.8
334411.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423301020506070803827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.0
19.219.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 6.3
7104
#12
13.80.3
14.013.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End9.1
Second
11.60.0
10.610.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End1.9
red by 0.3
3344
#15
11.30.3
11.611.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End3.8
Third
6925
#22
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 1.8
3815
#20
6.70.3
6.25.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed