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Red108
873635.7
177153.7
88495.6
Blue48
297431.9
418837.3
74515.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10477406012014016010848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.2
53.553.7
Auto15.7
Teleop32.2
End5.9
red by 16.4
37.30.6
37.937.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.6
Second
35.70.2
35.535.7
Auto10.1
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 3.8
31.90.6
32.531.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.3
Third
8849
#35
5.60.2
5.35.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.0
red by 0.5
7451
#26
5.10.6
5.75.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End1.4