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Red40
670527.4
450919.8
602310.5
Blue32
418917.6
510912.3
886613.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6544020801001204032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
27.727.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
red by 9.7
4189
#10
17.60.3
17.917.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Second
19.80.4
20.119.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 6.7
8866
#21
13.10.3
13.313.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End7.1
Third
6023
#25
10.50.4
10.810.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End7.2
blue by 1.8
12.30.3
12.512.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.1