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Red25
450919.8
45168.6
808310.8
Blue59
886613.1
670527.4
68876.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41452030506070802559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
18.117.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 7.6
27.41.1
25.226.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
Second
8083
#17
10.80.9
11.610.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.7
blue by 2.3
8866
#21
13.11.1
13.114.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End7.1
Third
4516
#33
8.60.9
9.28.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 1.9
6887
#15
6.71.1
3.64.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned