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Red59
44596.8
83219.6
164812.7
Blue21
85772.2
590014.5
81007.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4016060801005921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#12
19.61.1
17.218.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End6.9
red by 5.1
5900
#20
14.50.2
11.111.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End5.6
Second
1648
#11
12.71.1
10.411.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End7.8
red by 5.5
8100
#18
7.20.2
4.95.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.3
Third
4459
#23
6.81.1
7.28.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
red by 4.6
8577
#38
2.20.2
2.12.3
Auto0.2
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed