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Red68
297431.9
68876.7
634027.2
Blue66
56513.7
74515.1
177153.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62663040507080901006866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.6
28.629.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.3
blue by 21.9
53.70.3
51.151.4
Auto15.7
Teleop32.2
End5.9
Second
27.20.6
25.325.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End13.4
red by 22.1
7451
#26
5.10.3
6.56.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Third
6887
#15
6.70.6
4.75.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.9
red by 3.1
5651
#31
3.70.3
4.14.4
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed