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Red47
590014.5
38157.9
533213.6
Blue41
886613.1
88656.6
418917.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274101020506070804741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#20
14.51.1
11.312.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End5.6
blue by 3.1
4189
#10
17.60.3
15.816.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End7.4
Second
5332
#16
13.61.1
10.311.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End5.7
red by 0.6
8866
#21
13.10.3
14.314.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End7.1
Third
3815
#30
7.91.4
5.26.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 1.3
8865
#22
6.60.3
6.97.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned