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Red56
76765.5
873635.7
17958.5
Blue47
670527.4
808310.8
74515.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594420801001205647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
35.935.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 8.3
27.40.0
26.326.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
Second
1795
#29
8.51.1
10.19.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 2.3
8083
#17
10.80.0
10.310.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Third
7676
#37
5.51.1
7.76.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End2.0
red by 0.4
7451
#26
5.10.0
6.86.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned