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Red4
44596.8
52194.1
88656.6
Blue31
450919.8
56513.7
88495.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2134010304050607080431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4459
#23
6.81.1
7.96.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
blue by 13.0
19.80.1
19.819.9
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Second
8865
#22
6.61.1
7.76.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End3.9
red by 1.0
8849
#35
5.60.1
6.76.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Third
5219
#34
4.11.3
5.44.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
red by 0.5
5651
#31
3.70.1
3.63.7
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed