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Red126
297443.4
177158.9
731511.5
Blue81
418836.5
126133.5
808018.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12590608010014016012681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.90.3
58.658.9
Auto16.7
Teleop37.1
End5.0
red by 22.3
36.50.2
36.736.5
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Second
43.40.3
43.243.4
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End3.8
red by 10.0
33.50.2
33.633.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
Third
7315
#30
11.50.3
11.211.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 6.9
8080
#22
18.40.2
18.518.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End9.1