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Red0
418836.5
126133.5
808018.4
Blue73
670527.6
634031.2
363518.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93810204060100120140073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#8DQ
36.50.1
35.735.8
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 5.3
6340
#10
31.20.3
31.331.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End13.2
Second
1261
#4DQ
33.50.1
32.632.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
red by 5.9
6705
#11
27.60.3
27.627.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.5
End9.7
Third
8080
#22DQ
18.40.1
17.517.7
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End9.1
blue by 0.4
3635
#24
18.80.3
18.918.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End5.6