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Red59
88498.3
470115.5
634031.2
Blue100
670527.6
126133.5
450925.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3890020608010012014059100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#10
31.21.1
26.928.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End13.2
blue by 2.2
33.51.5
30.732.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
Second
4701
#26
15.51.1
11.412.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End4.1
blue by 12.0
6705
#11
27.61.5
27.629.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.5
End9.7
Third
8849
#29
8.31.1
4.35.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 17.2
25.51.5
19.721.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed54%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned