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Red51
731511.5
141430.0
808018.4
Blue101
634031.2
886615.8
297443.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568820408010012014051101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.7
25.625.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.8
End8.2
blue by 13.5
43.41.2
39.941.1
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End3.8
Second
8080
#22
18.40.7
18.417.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End9.1
blue by 12.8
6340
#10
31.21.2
28.029.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End13.2
Third
7315
#30
11.50.7
12.712.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 4.3
8866
#20
15.81.2
11.012.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned