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Red88
886615.8
168325.5
450925.5
Blue85
691937.2
682931.0
808018.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56902040801001201408885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.8
21.523.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End3.5
blue by 11.7
37.20.3
33.734.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End8.1
Second
1683
#13
25.51.8
23.725.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End5.4
blue by 5.6
31.00.3
28.829.1
Auto9.3
Teleop15.5
End6.2
Third
8866
#20
15.81.8
12.213.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End4.5
blue by 2.6
8080
#22
18.40.3
17.818.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned