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Red71
67129.5
418836.5
418918.9
Blue116
174627.6
177158.9
470115.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110620408012014016071116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.3
33.834.0
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
blue by 22.3
58.91.5
54.255.6
Auto16.7
Teleop37.1
End5.0
Second
4189
#16
18.90.3
20.320.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End6.7
blue by 8.8
27.61.5
26.728.2
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.2
Third
6712
#32
9.50.3
9.09.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End5.3
blue by 6.1
4701
#26
15.51.5
13.214.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned