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Red75
691923.4
418831.6
33442.9
Blue57
141419.4
126121.9
88495.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63462040801007557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
31.231.6
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
red by 9.7
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
Second
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End4.6
red by 4.0
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
Third
3344
#22
2.90.4
2.52.9
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 2.1
8849
#20
5.00.3
4.75.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.1