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Red6
74704.2
45097.0
41125.9
Blue2
75385.1
88653.2
69105.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14220103040506062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.00.9
7.97.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End-0.4
red by 1.3
6910
#12
5.82.0
8.56.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Second
5.90.5
-0.1-0.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.6
red by 0.8
7538
#25
5.12.0
3.51.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Third
7470
#21
4.20.9
6.45.5
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
red by 1.0
8865
#24
3.22.0
7.75.7
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed