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Red28
126121.9
69054.8
16486.4
Blue2
88653.2
88153.8
74704.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251801030405060282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.6
13.313.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
red by 17.7
7470
#21
4.21.8
5.33.5
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
Second
1648
#16
6.40.6
5.46.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End2.8
red by 2.6
8815
#14
3.81.8
7.65.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Third
6905
#19
4.80.6
4.24.8
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
red by 1.6
8865
#24DQ
3.21.8
5.13.3
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed