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Red35
58284.4
41125.9
418831.6
Blue32
16486.4
126121.9
74704.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3324010204050603532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.6
24.425.0
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
red by 9.7
21.91.0
13.914.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
Second
5.90.4
1.11.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 0.5
1648
#16
6.41.0
6.06.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End2.8
Third
5828
#23
4.40.6
4.14.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
red by 0.1
7470
#21
4.21.0
3.54.4
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed