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Red50
418831.6
73156.5
470110.5
Blue0
30913.1
69054.8
81004.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3724010203050607080500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.9
13.515.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
red by 26.8
6905
#19
4.82.7
8.15.5
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Second
10.51.9
9.211.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
red by 5.8
8100
#10
4.71.7
7.25.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.7
Third
7315
#15
6.51.9
10.112.0
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 3.5
3091
#18
3.12.7
7.85.2
Auto1.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed