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Red6
69256.3
363517.8
88653.2
Blue34
69054.8
88153.8
418831.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25410102030506070634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.82.0
16.214.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
blue by 13.8
31.60.2
25.024.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
Second
6925
#13
6.32.0
5.03.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 1.5
6905
#19
4.80.2
4.84.6
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Third
8865
#24
3.22.0
4.52.5
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7
blue by 0.6
8815
#14
3.80.2
6.46.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed