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Red16
74704.2
563214.8
58284.4
Blue22
33442.9
470110.5
24156.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2516010203040501622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.6
12.511.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
red by 4.3
10.50.5
10.210.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Second
5828
#23
4.40.6
4.13.5
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 1.8
2415
#11
6.10.5
5.96.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Third
7470
#21
4.20.6
5.75.1
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
red by 1.4
3344
#22
2.90.5
0.20.8
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed