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Red29
126121.9
33442.9
69256.3
Blue30
363517.8
69105.8
41125.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524152030352930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.2
17.717.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
red by 4.1
17.80.6
14.915.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Second
6925
#13
6.30.2
4.74.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 0.4
5.90.5
2.53.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Third
3344
#22
2.90.2
0.80.9
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 2.9
6910
#12
5.80.6
5.35.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed