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Red15
470110.5
74704.2
81004.7
Blue28
88153.8
58284.4
363517.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20280104050601528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.50.3
10.610.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
blue by 7.3
17.80.2
17.417.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Second
8100
#10
4.70.3
4.84.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.1
End1.7
red by 0.4
5828
#23
4.40.2
3.23.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Third
7470
#21
4.20.3
4.64.3
Auto0.5
Teleop1.1
End2.6
red by 0.4
8815
#14
3.80.2
4.54.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed