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Red19
563214.8
30913.1
470110.5
Blue23
73156.5
363517.8
69054.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283401020405060701923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.9
10.59.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
blue by 3.0
17.80.9
13.312.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Second
10.50.9
11.110.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
red by 4.0
7315
#15
6.50.9
12.011.2
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End1.1
Third
3091
#18
3.10.9
5.24.3
Auto1.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
blue by 1.7
6905
#19
4.80.9
5.54.6
Auto0.5
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed