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Red16
33442.9
126121.9
88153.8
Blue33
141419.4
30913.1
470110.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303401020405060701633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.8
21.420.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
red by 2.5
19.40.1
17.918.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
Second
8815
#14
3.80.8
4.73.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.8
End-0.5
blue by 6.7
10.50.1
10.210.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Third
3344
#22
2.90.8
2.51.6
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 0.2
3091
#18
3.10.1
3.03.1
Auto1.4
Teleop0.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned