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Red56
691923.4
418831.6
33442.9
Blue34
563214.8
45097.0
75385.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6522040801001205634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.0
30.930.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.6
End5.5
red by 16.8
14.80.2
14.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End5.2
Second
23.40.0
22.722.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End4.6
red by 16.4
7.00.2
6.97.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.4
End-0.4
Third
3344
#22
2.90.0
2.22.2
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 2.2
7538
#25
5.10.2
4.95.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.0
End0.8