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Red60
141419.4
126121.9
88495.0
Blue37
470110.5
363517.8
88653.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060806037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.3
20.821.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.4
red by 4.1
17.80.1
17.817.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Second
19.40.3
18.218.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End12.1
red by 8.8
10.50.1
10.610.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Third
8849
#20
5.00.3
3.94.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.7
End1.1
red by 1.8
8865
#24
3.20.1
3.23.3
Auto0.2
Teleop0.2
End2.7