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Red16
56516.3
16839.1
51094.5
Blue8
68875.0
71049.1
808310.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532020406080100168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#12
9.11.8
11.19.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.7
blue by 0.9
8083
#18
10.02.5
12.19.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.3
Second
5651
#30
6.31.8
10.18.3
Auto2.0
Teleop1.9
End2.4
blue by 2.8
7104
#21
9.12.5
10.47.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End4.4
Third
5109
#23
4.51.8
11.29.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
blue by 0.5
6887
#31
5.02.5
7.65.1
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed