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Red0
41121.9
56516.3
87610.5
Blue53
402612.0
85772.5
177136.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3036010204050607080053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5651
#30
6.33.2
8.35.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.9
End2.4
blue by 29.7
36.02.2
18.020.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End4.5
Second
4112
#28
1.93.2
10.16.9
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
blue by 10.2
4026
#17
12.02.2
8.010.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
8761
#33
0.53.2
10.57.3
Auto1.3
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
blue by 1.9
8577
#20
2.52.2
6.89.1
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed