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Red45
68875.0
59008.7
297418.1
Blue50
67125.0
35814.3
873620.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30210104050604550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.12.0
14.616.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
blue by 2.7
20.83.3
10.413.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.2
End2.3
Second
5900
#24
8.72.0
7.89.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End3.8
red by 3.7
6712
#15
5.03.3
2.96.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.5
End2.3
Third
6887
#31
5.02.0
4.46.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 0.7
3581
#27
4.33.3
7.410.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed