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Red57
682916.5
174614.9
45168.0
Blue4
87610.5
53327.2
68875.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222010405060574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.53.1
13.216.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End5.5
red by 9.3
5332
#26
7.22.0
9.27.2
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Second
1746
#16
14.93.1
11.014.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
red by 9.9
6887
#31
5.02.0
6.44.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Third
8.03.1
4.98.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End4.0
red by 7.5
8761
#33
0.52.0
6.44.4
Auto1.3
Teleop-1.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed