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Red32
808310.0
41899.2
83213.1
Blue10
51094.5
41121.9
80807.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30150102040503210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#5
13.10.7
9.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.6
End5.5
red by 5.6
7.50.7
6.25.5
Auto0.5
Teleop0.9
End6.1
Second
8083
#18
10.00.7
6.36.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.3
red by 5.5
5109
#23
4.50.7
6.96.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End0.5
Third
4189
#13
9.20.7
10.010.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End3.3
red by 7.3
4112
#28
1.90.7
3.22.5
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed