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Red77
670519.5
808310.0
177136.0
Blue45
634018.4
297418.1
174614.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48482030406070807745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.03.1
28.231.3
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End4.5
red by 17.6
18.40.0
15.215.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End10.6
Second
19.53.1
9.712.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End9.5
red by 1.5
18.10.0
13.913.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Third
8083
#18
10.03.1
6.910.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End4.3
blue by 4.9
1746
#16
14.90.0
16.316.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned